BALKANS: GALLUP,PEOPLE PESSIMISTIC AND CORRUPTION VICTIMS

(by Chiara Spegni)
(ANSAmed) - BRUSSELS, NOVEMBER 18 - Pessimistic, victims of
corruption, hit by the economic crisis and more Euro-sceptic
than in the past: this is the picture of public opinion in
Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia, Albania, Croatia, Bosnia
Herzegovina and Kosovo, which emerges from the Balkan Monitor
poll by Gallup Europe, which was carried out this year in
partnership with the European Fund for the Balkans.
According to the survey, the majority of people polled
considers another war unlikely, but a general climate of
pessimism reigns, except for in Albania and Kosovo. Ten years
after the war in Kosovo, time has passed, but there have not
been significant improvements: this has caused discouragement,
remarked the former Italian prime minister, Giuliano Amato, at
the presentation of the survey in Brussels. In addition, said
Amato, the regions movement towards Europe has had a worse
impact that the economic crisis, with a fall in foreign
investment. A large part of the regions population has suffered
directly from a fall in living standards and for example, has
had problems paying the bills: from 36% of Bosnians to 58% of
Kosovans.
Young people are pessimistic about employment, while more
than two-thirds of those interviewed in the region believe that
corruption is rampant within the government and business. More
than half of Albanians last year had to hand over a bribe in
order to solve a problem, while the same was true of 8% of
Croatians and 20% of Macedonians and Kosovans. Two-thirds of
those interviewed in Kosovo and Bosnia Herzegovina have been
affected by organised crime, while the figure in other Balkan
countries ranged from 32% in Albania to 61% in Croatia.
Confidence in the political class at a national level, and in
European institutions is in decline. Overall, more than half of
those polled in all the countries in the region support EU
membership, but it is the Croatians, in poll position compared
to the others, who are critical. Almost four out of ten are
indifferent, while 43% would vote against entry into the EU in a
referendum. This is a kind of disenchantment, which Giuliano
Amato puts down to the ever stronger chains which EU
rapprochement entails. Entering into the Union means being
thrown into a market where competition is fiercer.
Such widespread dissatisfaction does not necessarily mean people
want to go elsewhere though. With the exception of Albania,
where 38% of those polled would leave if they had the chance.
Croatias potential migrants number only 11%, while Montenegro
and Bosnia have even fewer, from 39% in 2006 to 16% in 2009 in
Montenegro, and from 25% to 16% in Bosnia Herzegovina.
In terms of the future, a positive factor which relieves the
general climate of pessimism could be the forthcoming
liberalisation of visas for the Schengen area, which will affect
Montenegro, Serbia and Macedonia first, followed by Albania and
Bosnia Herzegovina.
The elimination of visas for the Schengen area could be a
strategic step according to Ivan Krastev, president of the
Centre of liberal strategies in Sofia, towards the speedy
integration of the area into the European Union. (ANSAmed).